Amtrak, the National Passenger Railroad Corporation, could cease to be a “national” network if the federal government shutdown drags on. The company has said that it can ride out a short-term shutdown, on the order of several weeks, but it’s unclear what might happen beyond that point.
While the shutdown drags on, it looks like it could be over by the end of this week or this weekend. While it is hardly settled with a lot of hue and cry to come, there is a framework which would end the shutdown with, at a minimum, a continuing resolution for a few months at FY2013 sequestered funding levels while a FY14 deal is reached. The Democrats are pushing to end or change the sequestration with a higher discretionary spending level, but the floor for Amtrak funding for FY14 looks to be the FY2013 sequestered funding levels which would keep the LD trains and the rest of the system running. So fear of a sudden shutdown of LD trains is overblown.
Staying at the FY2013 sequestration funding level of $1.365 billion means insufficient capital funding to address longer term issues such as ordering replacements for the Amfleets, Superliners, P-42s and getting the NEC to state of good repair. But it covers the debt service payments, keeps the lights on, and assuming Amtrak can move federal funds from operating subsidy to capital purchases, should cover the CAF Viewliner progress payments. Amtrak will also be getting additional funds from the increased state subsidies, maybe around $80 million or a little more, so even if the funding stays at the sequestered FY2013 levels, Amtrak will have more combined federal and state funding in FY14.
The upper limit for FY2014 would be the proposed Senate transportation bill which has $1.45 billion for Amtrak with $848 million for capital grants, about $140M more than FY2013. Better for track maintenance and projects for the NEC, but still short for addressing the issues of new rolling stock and capacity. Those issues will have to wait.